Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5199 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5199 · CVG → DCA

departs 5:07 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±4 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.67 in

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5199 · CVG → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?