Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5220 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

OH 5220 · CLT → IAD

departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5220 · CLT → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?