Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5235 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5235 · DCA → ILM

departs 7:18 AM ET · arrives 8:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ILM that day

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

ILM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5235 · DCA → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?