Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5258 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5258 · LEX → CLT

departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LEX that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.31 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5258 · LEX → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?