Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5283 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5283 · DCA → MHT

departs 10:11 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ MHT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MHT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5283 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?