Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5336 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5336 · ORF → DCA

departs 11:07 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ ORF is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5336 · ORF → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?