Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5351 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5351 · ROC → DCA

departs 5:33 AM ET · arrives 6:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ROC that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ROC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.41 in

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5351 · ROC → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?