Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5374 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5374 · DCA → ROC

departs 9:59 AM ET · arrives 11:20 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ROC that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

ROC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5374 · DCA → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?