Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5498 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5498 · CLT → ATL

departs 10:36 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±7 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5498 · CLT → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?