Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5502 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5502 · DCA → ATL

departs 8:01 PM ET · arrives 10:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5502 · DCA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?