Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5518 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5518 · PHL → GSO

departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

GSO (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5518 · PHL → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?