Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5556 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5556 · CLT → CVG

departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5556 · CLT → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?