Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5568 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5568 · DCA → BGR

departs 1:27 PM ET · arrives 3:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

BGR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5568 · DCA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?