Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5597 LANDED 10:55 PM ET, ~21 MIN LATE

Friday, October 2

OH 5597 · DCA → DTW

took off 9:53 PM ET · landed 10:55 PM ET (scheduled 8:59 PM ET → 10:43 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

DTW (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5597 · DCA → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?