Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5656 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5656 · DCA → MKE

departs 10:00 PM ET · arrives 11:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DCA that day

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

MKE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5656 · DCA → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?