Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3384 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 3384 · MRY → SAN

departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 7:34 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MRY that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MRY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3384 · MRY → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?