Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3384 · MRY → SAN
departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 7:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/1 15%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MRY that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from MRY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 0 mi
Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.