Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3486
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3486 · SNA → SFO
departs 10:50 AM PT · arrives 12:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.