Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3734 · TPA → AUS
departs 7:51 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 42%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.