Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3734 · TPA → AUS
departs 7:51 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.