tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3851 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OO 3851 · RAP → MSP

departs 4:15 PM MT · arrives 6:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±3 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 3.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.