Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4440
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4440 · ATW → DTW
departs 11:09 AM CT · arrives 1:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
ATW is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.