Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4440
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 4440 · ATW → DTW
departs 11:09 AM CT · arrives 1:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ATW is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.