Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4682 · IAH → SHV
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 9:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
7pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.48 in
SHV (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.