Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4682 · IAH → SHV
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 9:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
7pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.17 in
SHV (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.