Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
OO 4763 · SLC → SFO
departs 6:05 AM MT · arrives 7:19 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 6%
Sun 10/4 4%
Mon 10/5 4%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 4%
Fri 10/9 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.