Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 4763 · SLC → SFO
departs 6:05 AM MT · arrives 7:19 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 4%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.