tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4794 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OO 4794 · SBN → ORD

departs 9:05 AM ET · arrives 9:16 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±4 pts +15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.