Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4951 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 4951 · SAT → LAX

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:20 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip2.44 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4951 · SAT → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?