Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4990 · FSD → ORD
departs 4:43 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 27%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.