Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5044 · AEX → IAH
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 5:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 25%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.