Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
OO 5045 · MGM → IAH
departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 52%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
MGM is quiet at that time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MGM (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.