Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5045 · MGM → IAH
departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 567 ft forecast at MGM that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MGM is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MGM (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.22 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.