Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5064 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5064 · ORD → DEC

departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEC?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DEC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

DEC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5064 · ORD → DEC

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEC?