Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5064 · ORD → DEC
departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 5:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 9/30 51%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at DEC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to DEC?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at DEC that day
↓
DEC usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
DEC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,067 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.