OO 5064 · ORD → DEC

took off 6:01 PM CT · expected to land 6:31 PM CT (scheduled 4:45 PM CT → 5:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEC?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
81%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

DEC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5064 · ORD → DEC

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEC?