Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5214 · DEN → MSN
departs 8:34 PM MT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+32 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +38 pts in 24h
+38 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MSN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.