Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5238
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5238 · TVC → IAH
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.