Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5299
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5299 · LAX → FAT
departs 10:10 AM PT · arrives 11:31 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Arrivals into FAT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.