Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5299
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5299 · LAX → FAT
departs 10:21 AM PT · arrives 11:42 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Arrivals into FAT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.