Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5301
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
OO 5301 · TUL → IAH
departs 3:43 PM CT · arrives 5:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.