Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5301
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5301 · TUL → IAH
departs 3:43 PM CT · arrives 5:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at TUL that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.