Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5448 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5448 · ORD → FWA

departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 4:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at FWA that day

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ FWA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

FWA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5448 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?