Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5474 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5474 · CPR → DEN

departs 3:15 PM MT · arrives 4:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ CPR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CPR

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

CPR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5474 · CPR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?