Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5530 · MFE → IAH
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 8:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±3 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
38%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
38%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 3.81 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.