Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5530 · MFE → IAH
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 8:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.10 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.