Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5617
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5617 · TYS → ORD
departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 2:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.10 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.