Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5617
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5617 · TYS → ORD
departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 2:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at TYS that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.12 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.