Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6076 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 6076 · ORD → FOD

departs 4:20 PM CT · arrives 5:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at FOD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FOD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into FOD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FOD

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.39 in

FOD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6076 · ORD → FOD

Odds over time

How late will it get to FOD?