Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6205 · ASE → AUS
departs 1:46 PM MT · arrives 5:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.